※ 引述《CanoNYY (CanoNYY)》之銘言：
: 2011 Cy Young Predictor - AL
: RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER SO SV SHO W-L ERA VB
: 1 Justin Verlander DET 220.6 31 31 229.0 62 232 0 2 22- 5 2.44 12
: 2 CC Sabathia NYY 176.0 30 30 218.1 72 211 0 1 19- 7 2.97 8
: 3 Jered Weaver LAA 161.5 29 29 206.1 57 176 0 2 16- 7 2.49 5
: 4 Jose Valverde DET 142.6 64 0 61.1 17 54 42 0 2- 4 2.49 12
: 5 C.J. Wilson TEX 142.3 30 30 201.0 70 179 0 1 15- 6 3.13 7
: 6 James Shield TB 139.2 29 29 218.0 67 205 0 4 14-10 2.77 0
: 7 Jon Lester BOS 135.3 27 27 172.0 56 167 0 0 15- 6 2.93 4
: 8 Dan Haren LAA 131.1 31 30 208.1 74 169 0 2 14- 8 3.20 5
: 9 Mariano Rivera NYY 129.6 57 0 55.0 13 53 39 0 1- 2 2.13 8
: 10 Josh Beckett BOS 128.3 27 27 173.2 48 155 0 1 12- 5 2.49 4
: 2011 Cy Young Predictor - NL
: RK PLAYER TEAM CYP G GS IP ER SO SV SHO W-L ERA VB
: 1 Ian Kennedy ARI 179.1 30 30 202.0 65 178 0 1 19- 4 2.90 10
: 2 Cliff Lee PHI 174.2 28 28 203.2 56 204 0 6 16- 7 2.47 12
: 3 Roy Halladay PHI 170.8 28 28 202.2 56 195 0 0 16- 5 2.49 12
: 4 Clayton Kershaw LAD 170.8 29 29 205.2 56 222 0 2 17- 5 2.45 0
: 5 Craig Kimbrel ATL 163.8 71 0 69.2 12 115 43 0 4- 2 1.55 0
: 6 John Axford MIL 148.7 66 0 64.2 16 75 41 0 2- 2 2.23 12
: 7 Cole Hamels PHI 148.0 28 28 194.0 56 171 0 0 14- 7 2.60 12
: 8 Brian Wilson SF 132.6 55 0 53.2 19 52 35 0 6- 4 3.19 2
: 9 Drew Storen WSH 132.6 62 0 64.1 23 58 34 0 6- 3 3.22 0
: 10 J.J. Putz ARI 131.8 52 0 51.1 14 51 38 0 2- 2 2.45 10
: *Cy Young Points (CYP) = ((5*IP/9)-ER) + (SO/12) + (SV*2.5) + Shutouts +
: ((W*6)-(L*2)) + VB (see below).
: *Victory Bonus (VB) is a 12-point bonus awarded for leading your team to the
: division championship (pro-rated based on the current standings).
: *以上戰績有包含今日數據
AL應該無懸念了...NL目前戰況膠著
傳統數據已經戰過了 來個進階數據比一比
Player ERA FIP xFIP ERA+ WAR
IPK 2.90 3.37 3.51 134 4.2(FG) 4.6(BR)
Lee 2.47 2.64 2.76 157 5.9 6.1
Halladay 2.49 2.12 2.61 156 7.4 6.2
Kershaw 2.45 2.44 2.81 151 6.2 5.7
IPK的進階數據下修的幅度比較大 ERA+ WAR都輸其他三人有一截
這幾年看WAR來預測有一定的準度
至於勝投...去年King 13W拿到CYA之後真的說不準
就不列入討論了 進階數據來看 我真的不認為IPK機會跟其他三人一樣大
各位認為呢