作者:
Homura (虎斑街貓˙Rebirth)
2011-06-29 22:06:28http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
BOS .576 95.9 66.1 61.5% 33.5% 95.0%
NYY .567 93.9 68.1 36.6% 51.9% 88.5%
TBR .510 86.0 76.0 1.9% 11.8% 13.7%
BAL .497 76.5 85.5 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%
TOR .443 76.3 85.7 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
DET .523 86.5 75.5 65.8% 0.6% 66.4%
CWS .498 81.9 80.1 20.0% 0.7% 20.7%
CLE .465 80.5 81.5 12.5% 0.6% 13.1%
MIN .505 75.7 86.3 1.7% 0.1% 1.8%
KCR .397 66.3 95.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
TEX .528 85.3 76.7 72.5% 0.1% 72.6%
LAA .459 78.6 83.4 12.6% 0.1% 12.8%
OAK .509 78.7 83.3 11.7% 0.1% 11.9%
SEA .465 75.4 86.6 3.1% 0.1% 3.2%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
PHI .556 93.7 68.3 74.7% 17.7% 92.4%
ATL .559 89.4 72.6 24.6% 43.2% 67.8%
NYM .470 79.4 82.6 0.5% 2.1% 2.6%
FLA .515 77.2 84.8 0.1% 0.7% 0.8%
WAS .435 76.7 85.3 0.1% 0.5% 0.7%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
MIL .530 87.8 74.2 55.8% 6.4% 62.2%
STL .541 85.7 76.3 28.9% 9.2% 38.1%
CIN .526 83.3 78.7 14.2% 5.3% 19.5%
PIT .428 76.9 85.1 1.0% 0.4% 1.3%
CHC .476 73.2 88.8 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
HOU .406 61.0 101.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Expected Win Pct Sim Win Sim Loss Div Pct WC Pct Playoff Pct
SFG .531 92.0 70.0 88.9% 2.2% 91.1%
COL .536 82.4 79.6 6.2% 6.2% 12.4%
ARI .465 80.8 81.2 3.1% 3.5% 6.6%
LAD .482 79.7 82.3 1.8% 2.5% 4.2%
SD .487 73.1 88.9 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Expected Win Pct - 預期勝率
Sim Win - 模擬勝場數
Sim Loss - 模擬敗場數
Div Pct - 分區冠軍機率
WC Pct - 外卡機率
Playoff Pct - 季後賽機率
有兩隊被認為已經放寒假去了 - -
作者:
x24627785 (旅は道連れ世は情け)
2011-06-29 22:08:00藍鳥教士不遑多讓
作者:
SlamKai (Calm Violence)
2011-06-29 22:09:00馬林魚!
作者: keysoon (Carson) 2011-06-29 22:09:00
蛇也被看的太扁了吧...
作者: mdfh (您真內行) 2011-06-29 22:12:00
水手輸運動家...
作者: wazowski (ludan) 2011-06-29 22:14:00
Expected Pct. 是根據畢式公式出來的嗎?
作者:
todd7622 (狀態顯示為腦筋僵化)
2011-06-29 22:15:0007、08年 Mets 99.9%不知道幾個月了還不是沒進季後賽XD
作者:
Homura (虎斑街貓˙Rebirth)
2011-06-29 22:16:00季末大崩盤不是常態啊 XD
作者: wazowski (ludan) 2011-06-29 22:17:00
軟豆腐與傑曼紐表示:......
作者:
Homura (虎斑街貓˙Rebirth)
2011-06-29 22:19:00Expected Pct.是季前預測 + 球季表現的綜合數據
作者: wazowski (ludan) 2011-06-29 22:21:00
國東前兩名 只要考慮"季前"Uggla被預期帶給斧軍的火力,
作者: wazowski (ludan) 2011-06-29 22:23:00
以及 Werth 換成 Dom Brown 被預期造成的打擊下修 不離譜
作者:
ohb (好勝的命運是失落)
2011-06-29 23:03:00有沒有原文連結啊?@@
作者: pawn001 (無名小卒) 2011-06-29 23:13:00
這個有沒有算錯= = 藍鳥在金鶯之後?
作者: jacky00766 2011-06-29 23:18:00
↑都是0點多% 好像沒啥差= =
作者: Kitsu (天堂地獄) 2011-06-29 23:25:00
以為0.1%夠慘的了 竟然還有0%的
作者:
labiron (labiron)
2011-06-30 01:50:00小熊今年拿...
作者:
Connec (康奈克)
2011-06-30 02:27:00獎學金TT
作者:
ueu72312 (躲在角落畫圈圈)
2011-06-30 02:54:00去買山羊
去年成績跟今年來看Werth換成Domo差超多何況Domo又把打線左打化了