[情報] Offense Plus Defense (OPD) - NL Thro …

作者: gaga19900329 (GagaKnight)   2008-09-11 23:53:19
Offense Plus Defense (OPD) - NL Through Sept 02, 2008
What follows is a discussion of the NL OPD (offense plus defense) leaders and
who should be headed for the MVP. Sometimes the month of September can be
enough to move players in this ranking when they are tightly bunched. So,
while these are the leaders, the rankings are not cemented.
下面是關於國聯OPD(打擊和守備)的領先者和誰應該成為MVP的討論。有時候九月就已經
足夠令成績接近的球員排名出現變動。所以,雖然他們現在是領先群,但這個排名仍不
是確定的。
The runs are rated above average at position. The offense is XR,
park-adjusted, and specific to the number of outs a player has used up. The
defense is DRS (Defensive Runs Saved: ZR converted to runs), explained in my
previous work. It is runs, not plays, above average. The units are the same,
so I simply add the numbers together. The decimal places are for consistency
’s sake, not meant to represent accuracy. There are several runs of give in
these (and any) numbers, offense or defense.
評分以聯盟中同一個位置的平均成績做為依據。打擊的代表數據是XR,經過了球場跟
出局數的調整。守備則是DRS(球員守住了多少分數:以ZR換算)這是比平均多守住的分數,
而不是守住的球。單位是一樣的,所以我就直接將他們相加。
In this data, the catcher defense is properly calculated, including all
passed ball, stolen base data, as well as incorporating the ZR data. This is
different from previous datasets, but the complaining about it was enough to
get me to make the effort.
在這份資料中,捕手的守備包括補逸、盜壘和ZR計算的數據。
There is some taint in some of the defensive data. If a player played more
than one position, I have summed all of his defensive contributions and using
that total number for his DRS at his Primary defensive position. There are
very few players this affects, and none are impacted significantly. Mark
DeRosa and Endy Chavez are two who see some difference, but it more
accurately reflects their total contribution to their team’s successes by
including all of their defense. For DeRosa, his 2B defense is 0.8 runs
higher than his overall contribution, but it doesn’t change his standing at
all. Endy is possibly the best defensive outfielder in the game, but he
plays all three positions, so his total reflects how many runs he has saved
the Mets. I also include Aaron Miles’ pitching runs and Chris Resop’s
outfield defense.
這些守備的資料仍有些缺點,假如一個球員打超過一個以上的位置,我就必須把他所有的
防守貢獻全部加總做為他主要位置的DRS。但很少球員有巨大的影響。Mark DeRosa和Endy
Chavez是兩名看得出差異的球員,但計算他們所有的守備表現更能反映出他們對球隊成功
的貢獻。DeRosa在守二壘時,他的守備分數是0.8,比他整體的分數還高,但這不會影響
他的排名。Endy可能是外野最好的防守者,但他可以守外野的三個位置,所以他的總成績
才能反映他為大都會守住了多少分。我也加入了Aaron Miles的投球成績和Chris Resop的
外野守備。
All that done, let’s talk about some players. Scroll to the bottom if you
want to see who the NL MVP is going to be.
好啦 該說的都說完了,讓我們來看看各位置領先的球員,假如你想知道誰是國聯MVP的
領先者,就直接拉到最下面吧
Catcher
This isn’t a strong year for catchers - sort of. there are three catchers
having great years at the dish: Brian McCann, Geovany Soto and Ryan Doumit.
However, none is a defensive whiz, and these performances don’t crack the
top ten in the league. Soto is the Cubs position player MVP thusfar, but I
don’t know if he will be by season’s end.
今年有幾分不是捕手年的感覺。這裡有3個捕手在打擊方面有著優秀的一年:Brian McCann
、Geovany Soto和Ryan Doumit。然而沒有一個是良好的防守者,而且他們的表現也沒辦
法在聯盟前10名中佔有一席之地。Soto是小熊到目前為止野手中的MVP,但我不知道他是否
會在球季後留下來。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
B.McCann ATL C -2.0 28.2 26.2
G.Soto CHC C -0.2 25.8 25.6
R.Doumit PIT C -3.0 20.6 17.6
The best defensive catcher at this point in the season is Jason Kendall
(+9.2). The worst is Michael Barrett (-5.2), followed by Josh Bard (-4.9).
The Padres simply don’t value defense behind the plate.
防守分數最高的捕手是Jason Kendall(+9.2)最差的是Michael Barrett(-5.2)次差的是
Josh Bart(-4.9)。教士完全就是不重視本壘板後方的防守。(觀念魂?)
Right Field
Early this season, really early, there was some talk about “getting MVP
consideration”. I don’t recall who the focus was, but it was in May, and I
made a crack about including Ryan Ludwick. Well, here we are in September,
and Ryan Ludwick has had a terrific season. He’s been the best-hitting RF
this season, and only Brian Giles’ glove has him in a dead heat with Ludwick
for the best overall RF. He and Giles are 8-9 in the NL OPD rankings.
在球季非常早的時候,有個關於"得到MVP關注"的討論,我忘記他們的焦點是誰,但那是
五月的事情。所以我想有包含Ryan Ludwick。好了,現在來到九月,Ryan Ludwick有了個
令人驚艷的球季。他已經是聯盟中打擊最好的右外野手之一。只有B.Giles的手套有辦法
跟Ludwick競爭最好的右外野手。Ludwick跟Gils是國聯排行榜的第八跟九名。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
R.Ludwick STL RF -2.3 33.0 30.7
B.Giles SDP RF 11.5 18.9 30.4
J.Werth PHI RF 5.6 17.1 22.7
Center Field
Some Mets fans purportedly are unhappy with Carlos Beltran’s performance,
but he’s the best CF in the league for three years in a row. He’s a Gold
Glove fielder and the best hitter. That’s a tough crowd that wants to
complain about that. Nate McLouth hit a ton early, but couldn’t field very
well. His fielding, with a larger sample for the entire league, is smoothing
out but still bad. Jody Gerut, who missed a few seasons, has been very good
for the Padres. He’s hitting well and fielding well. And there’s Cody
Ross having a strong season for the Marlins. He’s not close to Beltran, but
he is having a good year.
據說有些大都會的球迷不怎麼滿意Carlos Beltran的表現,但他其實已經連續三年佔據了
聯盟中最好的中外野手這個頭銜。他是個金手套等級的防守者和最好的打者之一。但有些T
固執的群眾仍然執意批評。Nate McLouth先前打得很好,但防守就不怎麼樣了。他的防守
跟全大聯盟比起來不會特別差,但仍算很糟糕。Jody Gerut,雖然缺席了一些比賽,但仍
給教士帶來許多的幫助(?)。他在打擊跟守備兩方面都表現優異。還有Cody Ross也有著很
好的一個球季,他的成績跟Beltran有段距離,但這仍然是不錯的一年。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
C.Beltran NYM CF 7.6 24.4 32.1
J.Gerut SDP CF 10.1 18.4 28.5
C.Ross FLA CF 6.7 11.5 18.2
Beltran has the seventh best OPD in the NL.
Beltran是國聯的第七名。
Left Field
Without Barry Bonds, the quality of hitting from left field leaves quite a
bit to be desired. How bad has it been? In a month, Manny Ramirez has
jumped to the second slot. The Brewers have gotten great play from Ryan
Braun, but he doesn’t take enough pitches to dominate the position. Last
year’s MVP candidate, Matt Holliday, has played very well in anonymity.
After last year’s amazing run, I expected to hear all about the Rockies
this season. I haven’t, and Holliday is having a standout year.
沒有了Barry Bonds,左外野手的打擊令人少了許多期待。到底有多差呢?在一個月之中,
Manny Ramirez就跳到第二名的位置。釀酒人的Ryan Braun有著良好的表現,可惜他的
選球使他沒辦法宰制這個聯盟。去年的MVP候選人Matt Holliday在沒得到多少注意下表現
優秀。在去年拿到可怕的分數後,我就十分期待能整季聽到關於洛磯的新聞。我的期待沒
有成真,但Holliday仍有著突出的球季。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
M.Holliday COL LF 6.2 29.5 35.7
M.Ramirez LAD LF 2.9 19.0 21.8
R.Braun MIL LF 0.1 18.9 19.0
Burrell Pat PHI LF 3.8 13.8 17.5
Third Base
Last year, the best thrid baseman was a near tie between David Wright and
Chipper Jones. Wright compounded the insult by winning a Gold Glove (that
should have gone to Pedro Feliz). Chipper was none to happy, and has been a
monster this year, but has also seen his older body a bit more sensitive to
pain. Wright is still in second behind Chipper, but it is a distant second,
as Chipper flirted with hitting .400 for the first three months and has
played Gold Glove-caliber defense. Chipper is fourth in the league in OPD.
Wright is 11th.
去年最好的三壘手競爭十分激烈,David Wright跟Chipper Jones分數十分地接近。
Wright因為得到了金手套而遭到侮辱。(原本應該是屬於Pedro Feliz)。Chipper Jones
十分地不高興,今年變身成一隻可怕的怪獸,但也看得出他年邁的身體對傷痛更加的敏感
。Wright仍然僅次於Chipper,但因為Chipper在球季前三個月繳出打擊率0.4的成績同時
在守備也有金手套般的水準而有不小的一段差距。Chipper是聯盟的第4名,Wright則是第
11名。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
C.Jones ATL 3B 7.9 42.8 50.7
D.Wright NYM 3B -0.4 29.6 29.2
T.Wigginton HOU 3B 0.4 16.2 16.6
I know what you are all saying: Really? Ty Wigginton? It’s been that kind
of year.
我知道你們會想說什麼:什麼?Ty Wigginton?這是真的嗎?今年就是這樣。
Shortstop
Jimmy Rollins won an MVP when he was the third best shortstop...in the
division. Rollins has dropped off a ton since last year, and Hanley Ramirez
worked on his defense, and is well out in front of the other NL East
shortstops.
當Jimmy Rollins是第三好的游擊手時贏得了MVP...是分區第三好。Rollins今年的表現下
滑了一大截,而且Hanley Ramirez在防守方面下了一番功夫,並且好到在國聯東區的游擊手中領先。
中佔據領先位置。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
H.Ramirez FLA SS -0.8 52.0 51.2
J.Reyes NYM SS -8.1 38.3 30.2
R.Furcal LAD SS 1.1 17.2 18.3
Rollins Jimmy PHI SS 4.0 12.2 16.2
Rollins is forty runs behind Hanley with the bat and nearly thirty behind
Reyes. Offensive seasons can have dramatic year-to-year swings. Hanley is
ranked third in NL OPD runs, while Reyes is 10th.
Rollins在打擊方面落後Hanley四十名,落後Reyes快三十名,有著戲劇性的波動。Hanley
在聯盟中排名第三,Reyes是第十。
Second Base
Chase Utley. Just retire the award already. His dominance over other NL 2B
is just incredible. He started the season very hot but has cooled off, and
he also leads the league in HBPs.
Chase Utley,上季才獲得銀棒獎。他的統治力與其它國聯中的二壘手相比簡直是高得不可
思議。他在球季開始時表現火熱,但是現在有冷卻的跡象。他的觸身球中也領先聯盟。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
C.Utley PHI 2B 9.3 36.8 46.1
M.DeRosa CHC 2B 2.1 23.0 25.2
D.Uggla FLA 2B -5.6 25.6 20.0
M.Fontenot CHC 2B 4.8 11.5 16.3
However, the Cubs have two guys that compare to Utley - when you add them
together. DeRosa and Fontenot, in addition to being defensively versatile,
are both having great seasons at the plate.
小熊的兩個球員可以跟Utley相比,要是你將他們的表現相加的話。Derosa和Fontenot,
除了全能的守備位置外,打擊成績也非常優秀。
First Base
Lance Berkman is having a great season, but Albert Pujols is having his best
ever. Pujols has certainly felt robbed of MVP awards, losing out to Barry
Bonds for half of his career and then a couple of iffy ones to Phillies.
This is going to be Albert’s year. It has to be. He’s got a full lap on
the league with 22 games to play. He’s the best defensive first baseman,
the best offensive first baseman and the best offensive player in the league.
If he gets hot, he could pass an OPS+ of 200. That doesn’t happen very
often. Berkman has been the second best player in the league (maybe third
behind Lincecum), and he’s just not close to Albert.
Lance Berkman有著很棒的球季,但是Albert Pujols今年是生涯最棒的球季。Pujols現在
幾乎已經確定會抱走MVP。今年是屬於Alebrt Pujols的一年。在只剩下22場比賽時他已經
領先聯盟一整圈了。他在一壘手中打擊和守備都是最好的,也是聯盟中最好的球員。如果
他狀態好時,他的OPS能超過200,這不是常常都能發生的。Berkman是聯盟的第二名。(
也許是第三,次於Lincecum),但他跟Pujols的差距還是很明顯。
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
A.Pujols STL 1B 11.9 58.2 70.1
L.Berkman HOU 1B 9.1 45.1 54.2
M.Teixe'ra ATL 1B 11.7 11.5 23.2
The Top Twenty
Player Name Team Primary DRS Xra+AA OPD
A.Pujols STL 1B 11.9 58.2 70.1
L.Berkman HOU 1B 9.1 45.1 54.2
H.Ramirez FLA SS -0.8 52.0 51.2
C.Jones ATL 3B 7.9 42.8 50.7
C.Utley PHI 2B 9.3 36.8 46.1
M.Holliday COL LF 6.2 29.5 35.7
C.Beltran NYM CF 7.6 24.4 32.1
R.Ludwick STL RF -2.3 33.0 30.7
B.Giles SDP RF 11.5 18.9 30.4
J.Reyes NYM SS -8.1 38.3 30.2
D.Wright NYM 3B -0.4 29.6 29.2
J.Gerut SDP CF 10.1 18.4 28.5
B.McCann ATL C -2.0 28.2 26.2
G.Soto CHC C -0.2 25.8 25.6
M.DeRosa CHC 2B 2.1 23.0 25.2
M.Teixeira ATL 1B 11.7 11.5 23.2
J.Werth PHI RF 5.6 17.1 22.7
M.Ramirez LAD LF 2.9 19.0 21.8
D.Uggla FLA 2B -5.6 25.6 20.0
R.Braun MIL LF 0.1 18.9 19.0
Pujols真可怕.......
作者: walkcloud (走路的雲)   2008-09-11 23:54:00
Pujols 鬼神阿.....
作者: kalabecha (喜喜)   2008-09-11 23:56:00
將來4000安800轟不無可能阿....
作者: BloodFlood   2008-09-11 23:57:00
好神奇的數據@@
作者: IAmaMouse (我是一隻老鼠)   2008-09-12 00:16:00
Dominate...
作者: Enolagay (飛來飛去)   2008-09-12 00:18:00
呼應18092篇
作者: whitehusky (Milk)   2008-09-12 00:25:00
Pujols For MVP
作者: iuchun1010 (Mr. Anderson)   2008-09-12 01:20:00
Pujols...不過4000安800轟不太可能吧
作者: NIKE74731 (耐吉七四七三一)   2008-09-12 01:26:00
開個賭盤如何?
作者: blueflier   2008-09-12 01:39:00
這賭盤要等多久阿XD
作者: dan0206 (很美的妳很傻的我....)   2008-09-12 01:50:00
他很會撿BB...所以4000安不可能...800轟...ㄎㄎ
作者: pikachu123 (pika)   2008-09-12 02:51:00
樓上科科
作者: mightymouse (翻墮羅流大師)   2008-09-12 07:12:00
Pujols選球太優了,間接導致他的全壘打累積的不夠快
作者: mightymouse (翻墮羅流大師)   2008-09-12 07:13:00
個人預測大概會以650-700左右收場(好像還是很快.....)
作者: baronterry (我是誰)   2008-09-12 08:13:00
說不定他手術完就可以累積快一點.....
作者: changyt   2008-09-12 08:20:00
Pujols unbelievable
作者: rfvtgb (........)   2008-09-12 10:25:00
PUJOLS最大的問題,是年紀吧,不是很多人說他謊報年齡不過也不知道到底是真是假
作者: h888512 (速球勝負 + 45度角絕殺)   2008-09-12 10:33:00
今年應該可以破100bb
作者: oralboralb ( )   2008-09-12 10:36:00
rfvtgb那老梗太多人再提了 實在很無聊
作者: Jormungandr (大蛇)   2008-09-12 12:31:00
只要不是美國出身的 哪一個不會題謊報年齡....
作者: Jormungandr (大蛇)   2008-09-12 12:32:00
LeBron James長的還不是有35歲 一堆人只看長相猜年齡
作者: rj0222 (蔡蟲)   2008-09-12 13:55:00
rfvtgb 你有證據證明嗎?? 這種老梗提起來能代表啥?
作者: papazzz (趴趴)   2008-09-12 16:33:00
謊報個屁,要亂說話前也請先去查查看好嗎
作者: gaga19900329 (GagaKnight)   2008-09-12 18:35:00
Pujols中學移民美國比較不可能謊報吧

Links booklink

Contact Us: admin [ a t ] ucptt.com