http://0rz.tw/3040N
How are free agent deals determined?
自由球員合約是怎麼簽訂的?
By Vince Gennaro, Special to Yahoo! Sports
Center fielder Torii Hunter will be paid $90 million over five years by the
Los Angeles Angels. Another center fielder, Andruw Jones, will get $36.2
million over two years from the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Closer Francisco Cordero signed a four-year, $46 million deal with the
Cincinnati Reds. Another closer, Eric Gagne, got a one-year, $10 million
contract from the Milwaukee Brewers.
Starter Carlos Silva will be paid $48 million over four years by the Seattle
Mariners. Silva, however, is the only starter from the free-agent class of
2008 to get more than a one-year commitment.
洛杉磯天使隊將會付給中外野手Torii Hunter五年九千萬美金的支票，而另一個中外野
手Andruw Jones則是跟道奇隊簽下了兩年三千六百二十萬美金的合約。
辛辛那提紅人隊跟終結者Francisco Cordero簽下一份四年總額四千六百萬美金的合約，
至於另一個終結者Eric Gagne則從密爾瓦基釀酒人隊手中拿到了一份一年一千萬美金的
合約。
西雅圖水手隊以四年四千八百萬美金的價格簽下了先發投手Carlos Silva，而他也是08
年自由球員當中唯一獲得複數年合約的先發投手。
What factors caused the disparity in those contracts, and others? To provide
answers, I employed statistical tools – primarily regression analysis – to
examine last winter’s free-agent market.
I tested various measures of past performance, whether players at certain
positions were paid a premium or a discount, and examined the impact of age
and injury history. I also tested for evidence of a player’s marquee value –
were the most popular stars paid a premium, after adjusting for all other
factors? Also, did the timing of the signing impact salary? Did players who
inked deals in November and December fare better than late signees?
是哪些要素影響到了這些合約和其他合約之間的差異?為了找出答案，我應用統計學的工
具