[情報] 徵求分擔"雙動能投資"策略訊號授權費的同好

作者: spiritempire (白色流星)   2023-10-22 22:03:42
最近因為看了「雙動能投資」這本書:
https://www.books.com.tw/products/0010709393
佩服作者對於動能及其他金融理論涉獵的深度和廣度,書中引用了上百篇文獻,我在作者
網站得知他開發的專有模型風險報酬比相當吸引人,尤其是QBAT:
https://www.optimalmomentum.com/proprietary-models-2/
進而詢問如何以該模型進行投資,作者回覆如下:
(中譯版)
您可以透過兩種方式存取訊號。我將訊號直接授權給一些投資者。訊號的季度費用為
2,000美元。您還將收到有關模型和市場的月度報告。
另一種方法是我將訊號授權給一位可以管理10萬美元帳戶的優秀顧問。他每年收取帳戶資
產1.25%的費用。
(英文原版)
There are two ways you could access the signals. I license the signals
directly to some investors. The quarterly fee for the signals would be
$2,000. You would also receive a monthly report about the models and the
markets.
The other way would be that I license the signals to an excellent advisor who
can manage $100,000 accounts. He charges 1.25% per year of account assets.
因為我希望自己交易自己的帳戶,優點是QLD買進訊號出現時,可以一部份資金投資TQQQ
,應可增加報酬(雖然他只建議使用2倍槓桿的QLD)。
所以希望直接取得交易訊號,但授權費不低,所以分享這個訊息,看是否有人願意一起取
得授權,這樣每人平均負擔的費用會比較合理,初衷是希望動能投資同好一起以比較平易
近人的費用,得到可能是世界級的交易模型,並大幅降低下檔風險。
因為以該作者在動能研究的聲望,應該不需要以參數過度優化後的績效,來嘩眾取寵或斂
財。
他有寄給我比較詳細的fact sheets,如下列網址:
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1GqDImrIoRuH1t9zY-i1PaJCVlCli0ByK?usp=sharing
另外也把我詢問該作者的一些問題的答覆提供大家參考。
如果有興趣一起取得授權的同好,請跟我聯絡。
(中譯版)
Q1:我們如何取得訊號? 日內會有交易訊號嗎?
A1:訊號在收市交易後發送,在第二天交易。 我們不進行日內交易。
Q2:QBAT有更長期的回測嗎? 例如使用UOPIX(ProFunds UltraNASDAQ-100基金,成立於
1997/12/1)
A2:我們不能使用共同基金進行回溯測試,因為交易會晚一天。 此外,我們也從代表那
斯達克指數的 ONEQ 取得訊號。 這就是寬度所使用的,而不是納斯達克 100。QNEQ 數據
可以追溯到 2003年9 月。我們查看 QQQ 信號,優於QLD信號。
Q3:QBAT模型是否曾經以TQQQ取代QLD進行回測? 雖然3倍槓桿ETF會有較大的波動耗損,
但由於QBAT平均每年交易3次,持有時間為58%,持有期限並不長,是否應該利用稍微增加
波動性和回撤來獲得更高的收益?
A3:TQQQ 不能與 QBAT 很好地配合,因為 3 倍槓桿具有相當大的波動拖累。不會得到
QQQ 3倍的回報,但會有3倍的風險。2倍槓桿ETF就沒有這個問題。QBAT說明書的研究連結
之一顯示了這一點。
Q4:如A-GEM說明書中所寫,「有時可能包括管理期貨或商品的部位」。 管理期貨或商品
是否以 ETF 進行交易?
A4:管理期貨和商品是以 ETF 進行交易。我們所有的交易僅使用 ETF。
Q5: 我們只想在3個模型中使用QBAT的交易訊號。授權費是三分之一嗎?
A5: 不可能只使用 QBAT,因為QBAT在沒有投資QLD時持有A-GEM的部位。 超過40%的時間
都會發生這種情況。業績記錄反映了這一點。無論您選擇使用哪種型號,費用都是相同的

(英文原版)
Q1: How do we access the signals? Will there be intraday trading signals?
A1: Signals are sent after the markets close for trading the next day. We do
not trade intraday.
Q2: Is there a longer-term backtest? For example, using UOPIX (ProFunds
UltraNASDAQ-100 Fund, established on1997/12/1)
A2: We cannot use a mutual fund for backtesting since trades would be a day
late. Also, we get our signals off of ONEQ which represents the NASDAQ
Composite index. That is what breadth uses instead of the NASDAQ 100. QNEQ
data goes back to Sep 03. We did look at QQQ signals prior to QLD.
Q3: Has the QBAT model been back-tested with TQQQ instead of QLD? Although 3x
leveraged ETFs will have larger volatility losses, because QBAT is traded an
average of 3 times a year and held 58% of the time, the holding period is not
long, and slightly increased volatility and drawdown should be used to obtain
higher returns?
A3: TQQQ would not work well with QBAT because 3X leverage has considerable
volatility drag. You would not get 3 times the return of QQQ, but you would
have 3 times the risk. We don't have that problem with 2X leveraged ETFs.
This is shown in one of the research links on the QBAT fact sheet.
Q4:" It may sometimes include a position in managed futures or commodities"
as written in the A-GEM fact sheet. Are managed futures or commodities traded
as ETFs?
A4: Managed futures and commodities are always traded as ETFs. All of our
trading uses only ETFs.
Q5: We only want to use the trading signals of QBAT in 3 models. Is the
licensing fee one-third?
A5: It's not possible to use only QBAT since QBAT is in the A-GEM positions
when it is not invested in QLD. That happens over 40% of the time. The
performance record reflects that. The fee is the same no matter which models
you choose to use.
作者: qwerasdft (小夜)   2023-10-23 01:53:00
qld改成下納指
作者: Uber (Uber)   2023-10-23 08:17:00
釣竿都已經教了,何必買魚

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