forbes
連結
http://goo.gl/Ga9udi
以下是外電的內容與翻譯
China Vs. Vietnam: Next Up At The International Court On The South China Sea
Now that the Hague’s Permanent Court of Arbitration voted resoundingly in
Philippines’ favor on the South China Sea, it is Vietnam’s turn to bring an
arbitration case. China has interfered massively in Vietnam’s economic
development — not only against its fishing, but against its offshore oil and
gas exploration and extraction. China justifies its interference in Vietnam’
s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) based on China’s recently-claimed 9-dash
line — the same 1930s line that the Court invalidated yesterday in the
Philippine legal victory.
在海牙國際常駐仲裁法庭判菲律賓勝訴後，接下來換越南提出仲裁案。 中國不僅嚴重地
干擾影響了越南的漁業，且其離岸油氣的探勘與採礦。
中國長久以來以１９３０年代所繪的９段線地圖來正當化中國對於越南ＥＥＺ的侵犯。
In 2012, China cut the cables of seismic equipment used by Vietnam to explore
its own EEZ for oil and gas. Starting in 2014, China repeatedly explored for
oil within Vietnam’s 200 nautical mile EEZ, with its high-tech $1 billion HS
981 drilling rig. Subsidized Chinese steel-hulled boats regularly sink wooden
Vietnamese fishing boats in disputed areas of the South China Sea, most
recently last weekend. In what the Vietnamese describe as a “merciless and
pitiless” incident, Chinese boats tried to prevent rescuers from retrieving
fishermen thrown overboard.
在２０１２年，中國為了探勘油氣採礦將越南海底的地震偵測纜線剪斷。
從２０１４年開始，中國一再的在越南的２００海浬的ＥＥＺ內，使用其價值１０億的HS 981鑽
探平台來尋找石油。
在爭議海域中，中國籍政府所補助的鐵殼船也經常弄沉越南籍的木製漁船，而最近一起事
故發生於上周。
在此越南人的描述為唯一起殘忍且冷血的事件，中國船隻還試圖阻止搜救者救起落海的漁
民。
With the Court’s ruling yesterday, nothing stops Vietnam from bringing a
similar arbitration case against China — and getting an almost certain win.
Vietnam has done a great job of patching up its differences with countries
more reasonable than China. Vietnam even submitted a joint submission with
Malaysia on their shared continental shelf — a model of cooperation and
reason. Vietnam still claims all of the Spratlys and Paracel Islands, but one
senses none of the stridency and intensity regarding these claims that was
exhibited by China on their 9-dash line claim.
加上昨天國際法庭裁決後，已經沒有甚麼事可以阻止越南對中國提出類似的強制仲裁，越
方也認為可以勝訴。 越南對許多比中國講理，之前有歧異的國家的彌補關係上做了很好
的工作。
越南甚至提交了一份與馬來西亞共享大陸棚的計畫，可以說是合作與理性的典範。
越南仍然主張擁有南沙與西沙島嶼，但仍然比不上中國刺耳與霸道的主張九段線。
My prediction is that Vietnamese leaders simply want — and will soon
petition — the Court to ascertain the limits of their EEZ, based on 200
nautical miles from the coastline, plus additional continental shelf. Once
this is settled, Vietnam will be theoretically free to fully utilize its EEZ.
作者預估越南領導人最近將會像國際法庭遞交確認２００海浬的ＥＥＺ範圍及大陸棚的申
請。
一旦這個裁決確認後，越南理論上將能完全自由的使用其ＥＥＺ。
Enforcement of Vietnam’s claim is another matter. China’s reaction to the
Philippine’s successful case over the coming months will help Vietnam know
what to expect after a new ruling in its favor. But there is now every reason
for Vietnam to bring an arbitration case. As President Rodrigo Duterte of the
Philippines discovered, there is no reason to bargain with China prior to a
PCA ruling, as the PCA ruling strengthened the bargaining position of the
Philippines. China knew this, which is why China was so desperate for
bilateral negotiations prior to yesterday’s ruling. Vietnam’s bargaining
position with China will be similarly strengthened by bringing a case and
receiving a ruling from the Hague tribunal. Let’s hope Vietnam now takes
action.
越南主張的執行而是另外一回事。
在菲律賓狀告中國成功勝訴的案例將會幫助越南了解如何勝訴。
但對越南來說現在絕對有理由提起仲裁。
如同菲律賓總統Rodrigo Duterte發現，在PCA仲裁前，根本沒有需要跟中國討價還價，
因為PCA裁決鞏固了菲律賓討價還價的空間。
中國也知道這件事，這也是中國在裁決前，如此絕望的希望私下的雙邊談判來解決這件事
。
藉由提起強制仲裁案，越南對中國的討價空間將來也會增加且獲得海牙國際仲裁庭的裁決
。
讓我們期待未來越南的行動吧。