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I’ve been waiting to release a 2024 NBA Draft Big Board, largely because
this draft class remains so uncertain. The 2024 draft is seen as the most
questionable one at the top in more than a decade. NBA teams are struggling
to pinpoint the kind of prospect whose value is commensurate with that of a
usual top-five pick.
Right now, I wouldn’t take any player in this class in the top four of the
2022 draft or the top five of the 2023 draft, and I still would not classify
any with a Tier One or Tier Two grade. Because of that, the order these
players will be selected remains extremely up in the air. It’s not an
exaggeration to say any player (outside of one) ranked in the top nine of
this board could end up going No. 1.
我(Vecenie)等了一陣子才發出2024年NBA選秀的百大新秀榜，主要還是因為這屆的不確定
性太高了。2024選秀是我十數年來看過有最多疑慮的一屆。NBA球隊還在想辦法找出能與前
五順位價值相符的潛力。
現階段而言，我不會將這屆的任何球員與2022的Top 4(Paolo, Chet, JSJ, Ivey)或是2023
的Top 5(Wemby, Miller, Scoot, Thompson Bros)相提並論，我也還不會選出Tier 1或2。
因此，這些球員被選的順序仍懸而不決。不誇張的說，除了某一名球員以外，前9名的任何
一位都有可能會是狀元。
And yet, this class is also an incredibly fun one to break down. It’s an
eye-of-the-beholder draft, and scouts are working hard to determine where
value can be had. There are players not ranked on this board who will emerge
over the course of the season and end up being drafted. This is just a
snapshot of where we’re at a quarter of the way through the regular season
— with myriad potential outcomes still on the board.
My goal right now is to identify guys I think have a good chance to play in
the NBA for a reasonable amount of time. I’m thinking less in terms of
upside, and more in terms of their chances of becoming strong rotation
players. You’ll notice I placed an emphasis on prospects who really know how
to play and have elite feel for the game. Another important factor I value,
even more than in previous years, is each prospect’s ability to impact the
game when they don’t have the ball. Because it’s difficult to pinpoint
exactly which guys have potential to be on-ball creators, placing an emphasis
on those who are effective without the ball seems like the best way to get
value out of a class that evaluators believe lacks top-end talent.
但是，這一屆分析起來是非常有趣的。這是給旁觀者的選秀，而球探正在努力找出他們的
價值。這裡一定會有球員不在這個榜上卻能逐漸爬上來並被選中。這只是例行賽過了1/4之
後的一個縮影