Kris Medlen's Repertoire, Animated
by Carson Cistulli - September 4, 2012
http://ppt.cc/OJRd
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Anyone who's made his way to these electronic pages is likely well-aware
that Kris Medlen has been excellent of late — is, in fact, the majors' best
pitcher over the last month by most relevant measures. Nor, really, has
Medlen been more excellent of late than he was on Monday afternoon against
the Colorado Rockies (box), during which game he recorded 12 strikeouts and
zero walks en route to conceding just a lone, unearned run in nine innings.
近一個月以來Kris Medlen是大聯盟最強的投手
星期一下午對上Rockies 他投出12次三振 沒有保送 另外只掉了一分的非自責分
While our Ben Duronio provided entirely able analysis in re Medlen just last
week, it occurs to the present author that the People could tolerate more in
the way of Medlen-related analysis.
雖然上星期另一個作家Ben Duronio提出他對Kris Medlen的看法
但顯然的大家可以接受另一篇分析的文章
Below is a more or less competent examination — accompanied by more than
less animated GIFs — of Medlen's repertoire.
Changeup 變速球
While it might be customary to begin a discussion of a pitcher's repertoire
with his fastball, Medlen's changeup is his best offering — has, in fact,
been among the best in the league this year. Among all pitchers who've
thrown at least 50 of them (i.e. changeups) this season, Medlen's has
prevented the most runs on a rate basis.
雖然習慣性的一開始就會介紹投手的直球 但Medlen最強的就是他的變速球
事實上他的變速球是目前聯盟中最好的
在所有投手中投超過50球以上的 Medlen是守下最多分數的
To wit, the league's top-10 pitchers, by runs above average per 100
changeups thrown:
為了證明 這裡排出用變速球守下最多分數的前10位投手
Name Team IP %Thrown Total Runs/Avg Runs/100
Kris Medlen Braves 104.0 20.5% 295 14.1 4.8
Yovani Gallardo Brewers 173.1 1.9% 56 2.6 4.7
Fernando Rodney Rays 62.1 35.1% 329 15.3 4.7
Huston Street Padres 36.0 17.3% 89 3.4 3.8
Danny Duffy Royals 27.2 10.9% 57 2.0 3.6
A.J. Griffin Athletics 51.2 14.9% 125 4.4 3.5
Freddy Garcia Yankees 93.2 9.6% 148 4.9 3.3
Andrew Cashner Padres 36.2 16.6% 107 3.5 3.3
Chris Tillman Orioles 61.0 14.7% 155 4.7 3.1
Juan Cruz Pirates 35.2 12.2% 82 2.4 3.0
Medlen has thrown the pitch about 20% of the time this year, nor did Monday's
start represent any sort of departure from that usage pattern: 25 of Medlen's
111 pitches (22.5%) against Colorado were changeups. As Ben Duronio
recently noted, it's a pitch he's willing to throw to both opposite- and
same-handed batters: of the 41 total pitches Medlen threw to left-handed
batters, 11 were changeups (26.8%); of the 70 total pitches he threw to
righties, 14 of them were changes (20.0%). This likely represents a departure
from the way many other pitchers utilize the change.
Medlen今年投變速的比例超過20% 在星期一的比賽中111球有25球是變速(22.5%)
像Ben Duronio說的 不管是左打右打 他都會投變速
ex:星期一 對左打41球內有11球是變速(26.8%);對右打70球內則有14球是變速(20.0%)
Here's something pretty close to an "average" changeup for Medlen — to
strike out Carlos Gonzalez in the ninth — both in terms of velocity (80 mph)
and movement (8.3 inches of armside run, 6.2 inches of rise relative to a
ball unaltered by air current/spin).
下方是一球對於Medlen相當"一般"的變速 這球三振了Carlos Gonzalez
http://ppt.cc/oW6u
While the standard deviation of the velocity on Medlen's change is quite
small (he threw all 25 of them between 78 and 81 mph on Monday), Medlen will
occasionally alter the amount of armside run it features. Here's an example
— to Dexter Fowler in the sixth inning — of a change with a little more run
(ca. 10 inches) and a little more drop (about 2-3 more inches than usual):
Medlen的變速球球速是差不多的(78-81mph) 他偶爾會改變增加球的位移
http://ppt.cc/4sII
And here's another, with less run (just five inches) for a called strike
three to Chris Nelson in the seventh:
這是另一種位移(縮小)
http://ppt.cc/Cgbv
Two-Seam Fastball 二縫線
In some cases, pitchers who are reported as having a two-seam fastball by
PITCHf/x are actually throwing just a single fastball that effs with the
system's pitch-classification algorithm. In the case of Medlen, however,
there really do appear to be separate pitches, as noted by this by chart from
Medlen's Monday start:
在某些情況下PITCHf/x認定為二縫線的很可能是普通的四縫線,這跟系統的算法有關
但在Medlen的情況下是有兩種不同的直球的(如下表)
http://ppt.cc/2xOa
And, more importantly, by Medlen himself:
Twitter:
JJ McLaughlin 14 Feb 12
KrisMedlen 2 seam or 4 seam your fav to throw
Kris Medlen 14 Feb 12
2 seam. More room for error. Plus my change up moves the same so it looks
similar to the hitter.
Medlen自己在Twitter上說 他更喜歡投二縫線 因為有更多空間可以犯錯
另外他的變速跟二縫線的位移 讓打者覺得是一樣的球路
Medlen's usage of the two-seamer, more than with any other pitch, is
dependent on the handedness of the batter — or, at least this was the case
on Monday. Of the 41 pitches he threw to left-handed Rockies batters, only 11
were classified as two-seamers (26.8%); meanwhile, about 44% (or, 31) of 70
total pitches to right-handers were two-seamers.
在面對同側的打者(右打) Medlen投的二縫線是所有球種內最多的(至少星期一是如此)
在面對左打的41球內只有11球是二縫線(26.8%);
但對右打則高達44%(31-70)
None of the two-seam fastballs thrown by Medlen on Monday induced a
swinging-strike — and he's posted just a 3.2% swinging-strike rate on the
pitch all season relative to the league-average of about 5%, according to
Harry Pavlidis). Still, as Medlen notes, it's possible that part of his
changeup's effectiveness is its resemblance to this pitch.
在星期一球賽中 沒有任何一球二縫線是揮棒落空的
事實上整個球季 二縫線的揮空率僅有3.2%(聯盟平均是5%)
但就像Medlen說的 變速球的威力來自於與二縫線相同的位移
Here's a the most "average" two-seamer (in terms of movement) thrown by
Medlen on Monday — to Wilin Rosario in the first:
以下是普通的二縫線
http://ppt.cc/s3fz
Four-Seam Fastball 四縫線
According to Brooks Baseball, Medlen has thrown his four-seamer almost three
times as often against right- than left-handed batters (13% vs. 5%). Against
those right-handed batters, he's thrown it almost twice as often while ahead
in the count (17%) than while behind (10%). In short, the four-seamer is a
pitch that Medlen will throw rarely — but when he does throw it, he's
normally throwing it against a right-hander and looking for a strikeout.
根據Brooks Baseball的統計 Medlen面對右打投出的四縫線是面對左打的三倍(13% vs 5%)
當面對右打球數領先時 他更會投二縫線 幾乎是球數落後時的一倍(17% vs 10%)
換句話說 四縫線他很少投 但是如果要投通常是面對右打 而且是想奪三振
Here he is doing all those things at once, on an 0-2 count against Andrew
Brown in the eighth:
下方就是Andrew Brown在2好球後被Medlen用四縫線三振出局的情況
http://ppt.cc/A7QJ
Curveball 曲球
Like most of his other pitches, the curve is one that Medlen will throw to
both right- and left-handed batters. Of the 23 he threw on Monday, eight of
them were to left-handers (or, 19.5% of all the pitches he threw to
left-handers); to right-handed batters, he threw 15 curves, or 21.4% of all
the pitches he threw to righties. Generally speaking, Medlen's curve is
pretty hittable in the zone: opposing batters have a 98.2% contact rate on
curves at which they offer within the zone against him. Related to that is
this: while the average major-league curve has a called-strike rate of ca.
45%, Medlen's is about half that this season, at ca. 21%.
就像他其他的球種 曲球也是他面對左打右打都會使用的
在星期一投的23球曲球內8球對左打(19.5%) 15球對右打(21.4%)
大致上來說他的曲球算是打的到的 球在好球帶內 打者有98.2%的擊球率
大聯盟曲球平均被判好球率是45% Medlen只有約一半(21%)
To combat the hit-ability of the pitch, Medlen goes outside the zone with it
more often than other pitchers. Here is he doing that to Dexter Fowler in the
third inning, with an 0-2 count:
為了避免打者對於打曲球造成的傷害 Medlen通常都把曲球投到好球帶外
以下是Medlen投的曲球 第3局面對Dexter Fowler 2好球沒壞球
http://ppt.cc/6Q0s
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這位被期待成為下一個Greg Maddux的Medlen
看來控球相當的可怕 二縫線搭配變速 十分混淆打者
不知道會不會成為另一個Maddux 但看起來未來發展會是隻ACE
勇士先發
Tim Hudson- Tommy Hanson- Paul Maholm- Kris Medlen- Mike Minor
Brandon Beachy- Ben Sheets- Julio Teheran- Randall Delgado
好像有點噁心 XXD