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Staff Report
July 22, 2011
Remember that the Prospect Hot Sheet is not a re-ranking of the Top 100
Prospects. This is a snapshot of which top prospects are excelling and which
ones are struggling right now. Stats cover the period from July 15-21.
Contributing: Ben Badler, J.J. Cooper, Kyle Dugan, Matt Eddy, Michael Kanen
and Jim Shonerd.
Hot Sheet
No. 1 RYAN LAVARNWAY C/DH RED SOX
No. 2 WILIN ROSARIO C ROCKIES
No. 3 JULIO RODRIGUEZ RHP PHILLIES
No. 4 JOHNNY GIAVOTELLA 2B ROYALS
No. 5 CHIH-HSIEN CHIANG RF RED SOX
No. 6 TIM WHEELER CF ROCKIES
No. 7 WILY PERALTA RHP BREWERS
No. 8 CHAD JAMES LHP MARLINS
No. 9 JESSE BIDDLE LHP PHILLIES
No. 10 TYLER THORNBURG RHP BREWERS
No. 11 MIGUEL SANO 3B TWINS
No. 12 JURICKSON PROFAR SS RANGERS
No. 13 YADIEL RIVERA SS BREWERS
NOT-SO HOT SHEET
Dayan Viciedo RF White Sox.
Bryce Harper RF Nationals
Jared Mitchell CF White Sox.
Cory Spangenberg 2B Padres.
MAN AMONG BOYS
Drew Granier RHP Athletics
BLAST FROM THE PAST
Luis Mendoza
HELIUM WATCH
Marco Hernandez ss Cubs
=========================================
No. 1 RYAN LAVARNWAY C/DH RED SOX
Team: Triple-A Pawtucket (International)
Age: 23
Why He's Here: .481/.548/1.696 (13-for-27), 5 HR, 3 2B, 11 RBIs, 9 R, 4 BB, 5
SO, 0-for-1 SB
The Scoop: At this point, about the only thing that could prevent Lavarnway
from adding "30-homer catcher" to résumé would be a big league callup. But
since that probably will have to wait until September, he'll have time to add
to his total of 26 homers, which he's distributed evenly at the Double-A (14
in 239 plate appearances) and Triple-A (12 in 146 PAs) levels.
Lavarnway has hit .377/.445/.746 in 34 games since his promotion to
Pawtucket, during which time he's been not only the hottest hitter in
Triple-A, but also one of the top performers in the minors. In the three
weeks since July 1, only high Class A Stockton's Michael Choice has a higher
OPS than Lavarnway's 1.338 mark. That's a .414/.481/.857 batting line that
includes 15 extra-base hits in 19 games for a man who dons catcher's gear in
half of his appearances.
No. 2 WILIN ROSARIO C ROCKIES
Team: Double-A Tulsa (Texas)
Age: 22
Why He's Here: .450/.542/1.050 (9-for-20), 4 HR, 7 RBIs, 8 R, 4 BB, 4 SO
The Scoop: Combine Rosario's two half-seasons at Double-A and you've got a
.272/.322/.514 hitter with 35 homers and 22 doubles in 551 at-bats. In that
time, he's gunned down and above-average 38 percent of 132 would-be
basethiefs. Rosario's raw tools suggest that the power and arm strength he's
shown with Tulsa are very real, and it's easy to see why scouts project him
to be an above-average regular at the big league level, possibly as soon as
next season. One caveat: Rosario has mashed 12 of 16 homers this season
versus Texas League righthanders, but he's also gone just 43-for-192 (.224)
against them.
No. 3 JULIO RODRIGUEZ RHP PHILLIES
Team: high Class A Clearwater (Phillies)
Age: 20
Why He's Here: 2-0, 1.29, 2 GS, 14 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 16 SO
The Scoop: A bit lost in the shuffle as part of a stacked Clearwater
rotation, Rodriguez leads the Florida State League with 12 wins and a .189
opponent average. He's not far off the pace in terms of strikeouts (106,
third) or WHIP (1.08, third). Rodriguez has a lot of deception in his motion,
which has helped him to dominate righthanded batters this year (3.88
strikeout-to-walk ratio), but his work against lefties is significantly less
stellar (1.38 ratio). However, few batters seem to square up Rodriguez with
regularity and, consequently, his rate of 5.9 hits per nine innings ranks
first among qualified FSL starters. While the raw stuff won't blow you away
(he pitches mostly in the high 80s), he's been able to use every morsel of it
to produce results.
No. 4 JOHNNY GIAVOTELLA 2B ROYALS
Team: Triple-A Omaha (Pacific Coast)
Age: 24
Why He's Here: .500/.533/.786 (14-for-28), 2 2B, 2 HR, 8 R, 3 RBIs, 2 BB, 3
SO
The Scoop: As the Royals start shedding pieces in their annual trade
deadline swap meet, it's about time to let Giavotella show what he can do in
the big leagues. Yet another in a long line of short second baseman, the
stocky Giavotella has hit .401 since June 1. He's not a slam dunk as a
long-term big league regular because second base always will be a challenge
for him defensively. He must emphasize conditioning and agility work to just
be adequate at the position, especially on balls hit to his right. But the
New Orleans product can catch up to almost anyone's fastball at the plate,
and he rarely gets himself out. With Christian Colon's struggles this season,
there now exists a window of opportunity for Giavotella to claim the job. The
Royals' current second baseman, Chris Getz (.256/.312/.285 this season),
isn't much of an obstacle.
No. 5 CHIH-HSIEN CHIANG RF RED SOX
Team: Double-A Portland (Eastern)
Age: 23
Why He's Here: .448/.515/.897 (13-for-29), 4 2B, 3 HR, 8 RBIs, 10 R, 1 BB, 3
SO, 1-for-1 SB
The Scoop: Chiang represents another piece of evidence that it's generally
wise to not write prospects off too quickly. Coming into the season, there
wasn't a whole lot to be excited about when watching the erstwhile second
baseman make the transition to the outfield. Chiang, a native of Taiwan, had
struggled at the plate in 2009 and 2010 and generally did nothing to show he
had even one plus tool. But in the offseason, the Red Sox hired a
Chinese-speaking nurtitionist who helped Chiang get a better handle on his
Type 1 diabetes (as BA correspondent Alex Speier explained). The results are
striking. With his blood-sugar levels under control, Chiang has kick-started
his career to the extent that he earned a spot on the Futures Game roster.
He's hitting for more power and has stopped giving away at-bats, and now he's
a prospect again. He's slugging .648 this year, and if that translates at the
higher levels, then he'll have enough power to handle a corner-outfield spot.
================
Bryce Harper RF Nationals
So Bryce Harper is human after all. Baseball's No. 1 prospect destroyed the
low Class A South Atlantic League by posting a .977 OPS to go with 14 homers
in 72 games, but a two-level jump to Double-A Harrisburg has brought on
Harper's first extended slump. He went 2-for-23 (both singles) with six
strikeouts this week, and his Double-A batting line has slipped to
.175/.250/.175. Expectations are monumentally high for Harper, but keep in
mind the fact that he's still 19 years old.
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