https://www.ft.com/content/7eef99e6-6bd5-4e84-85c1-ec77cc0671af
金融時報對全世界2024局勢進行分析。
其中，對於賴清德當選，中國是否會動武。
Will a change of president in Taiwan spark a Chinese attack?
No. Many people inside and outside Taiwan worry more about war these days,
thanks to China’s expanding military manoeuvres. The frontrunner in January’
s presidential election, the ruling Democratic Progressive party’s Lai
Ching-te, also has a very different background to the incumbent Tsai Ing-wen.
But Lai has been clear he would follow Tsai’s cautious China policy stance
— leaving Beijing with no pretext for an assault. The Chinese leadership
under President Xi Jinping still seems to believe, too, that it has a chance
to coerce Taiwan into unification without fighting — by stepping up military
intimidation, political infiltration, economic lures and international
isolation.
Kathrin Hille
金融時報分析，
中國還是會持續採行軍事恐嚇、政治滲透、經濟誘惑、營造國際孤立等手段，
避免發生戰爭。
所以戰國策網軍們也不用再帶風向了，
這個金融時報可是在12年前背刺蔡英文的那個金融時報，
人家現在都支持蔡英文-賴清德路線了，
你們還要繼續當中國側翼嗎？