[理工] 機率一題 Poisson分佈

作者: edward0887 (傻眼貓咪)   2019-12-04 01:55:15
SSI chips, essential to the running of a computer system, fail in
accordance with a Poisson distribution with the rate of one chip
in about five weeks. If there are two spare chips on hand, and if
a new supply will arrive in eight weeks, what is the probability
that during the next eight weeks the system will be down for a
week or more, owing to a lack of chips?
在網路上也看到這題 但好像沒有正確的答案
不知道小弟這樣解對不對
將兩個chip當作獨立事件討論
作者: Ricestone (麥飯石)   2019-12-04 02:52:00
不對,你寫的算式是兩個獨立的chip在一週裡面各自都只壞8次以內的機率這題應該要算這種chip在七週裡面發生三次以上壞掉的機率
作者: edward0887 (傻眼貓咪)   2019-12-04 03:20:00
R大我懂了 非常謝謝您!!!

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