美國《華盛頓郵報》(Washington Post) 的政治專欄 The Monkey Cage數小時前
剛剛刊登的報導，標題為Taiwan and mainland China in talks? Here are the
5 things you need to know about what Taiwanese people are thinking.
/ 台灣跟中國要會談？台灣人的想法，有五件事你應該知道。 /
我幫大家節錄了重點內容並簡單翻譯如下：
1.The Taiwanese people want talks with mainland China
/ 台灣民眾希望與中國對話 /
In the 2014 survey,... , 68.5 percent of our respondents said yes, while
only 22.5 percent were opposed.
2014的民調中，68.5%同義，22.5%反對。
2. Everyone’s in favor of talks, regardless of party
/ 不論黨籍的人都願意展開對話 /
But Taiwanese of all parties support talks. In the 2014 survey, that’s
true of a large majority of supporters of Eric Chu, the KMT presidential
candidate, or 82.9 percent. It’s true also for a substantial majority
of Tsai Ing-wen supporters, the DPP presidential candidate, or fully 66.3
percent.
2014的民調中，各黨支持者都支持展開對話。國民黨支持者有82.9%願意，民進黨
支持者則有66.3%。
3. Supporting talks is not the same as supporting unification
/ 支持會談不等於支持統一 /
Over the past 12 years, a majority of Taiwanese people support the status
quo, which means to maintain the not-quite-official separate status.
過去12年來，台灣主流民意支持維持現狀，也就是說，維持目前的不太正式的分治狀態。
Meanwhile, support for unification is dropping. Those who agreed with
“seeking unification with China quickly” and “maintaining the status quo
now and seeking unification later” now total only 7.3 percent of our
respondents, a significant drop from 20 percent in 2003.
同時，支持統一的比例變低。支持「盡快統一」和「維持現狀但最終統一」的民眾
只有7.3%，跟2003時的20%比較，比例急遽降低。
（民調圖 http://i.imgur.com/qu84sjb.png）
4. Taiwan is looking for a way out of the impasse
/ 台灣正在尋求出路 /
For the past 12 years, consistently around 80 percent of respondents said
they supported Taiwan’s independence if independence would not cause
mainland China to attack Taiwan (the yellow line in the figure below).
過去12年，穩定的大約80%民眾表示，他們支持台灣獨立，如果獨立不會造成戰爭。
（圖 http://i.imgur.com/qYnb5EC.png）
So far, the “status quo” has been a rational, yet reluctant, choice.
目前為止，「維持現狀」始終是一個理性、但被迫的選擇。
5. The Taiwanese worry about economic dependence on China
/ 台灣人擔心對中國的經濟依賴 /
This concern was manifested in the Sunflower Movement in March 2014, in
which students and activists occupied the Taiwanese parliament for 23 days
with the goal of stopping the Cross-Strait Service Trade Pact (CSSTP).
這個擔憂在2014年3月的太陽花運動中被清楚的表達，當時學生跟抗議人士佔領了
台灣立法院共23天，試圖阻止兩岸服貿協議的簽訂。
6. Conclusion / 結論 /
In general, the Taiwanese support talks with the mainland that which can
maintain the status quo and enhance economic prosperity without giving up
sovereignty, no matter which party is in power. Unification is out of the
question, and independence is a difficult dream.
結論是，在能夠維持現狀和促進經濟繁榮、但不用放棄主權的條件下，無論那一黨執政
，台灣人支持和大陸會談。「統一」是想都不用想，而「獨立」是一個艱難的夢想。
資料來源：
華盛頓郵報官方網站 https://goo.gl/4nFUFe
WP官方的 The Monkey Cage 政治專欄粉絲頁 https://goo.gl/OUGyfe
本篇FB版 https://goo.gl/XLQT2w