國際新秀排第四,前三山本、李政厚、千賀
Name ETA Ht Wt FV Risk
Roki Sasaki SP NPB 2026 20.3 6'3 203 R/R 45+ High
速球 滑球 控球 機制(沒指叉)
65/65 40/45 30/45 plus
Full Report(以下大概翻譯)
Sasaki cemented a legacy of his own while he was in high school. There was a
stretch when he was asked to throw nearly 500 pitches in an eight-day span,
including all of a 12-inning complete game during which he also hit the
game-winning two-run homer.
朗希高中時就是傳說,他曾在8天之間投接近500球,其中一場他12局完投勝然後打出致勝兩
分砲
He was the first pick in the 2019 NPB draft and had much more arm strength than
the typical top-of-the-class arm over there, touching 101 and sitting around
97. Sasaki amassed a 1.98 ERA in 77 total innings across 15 starts split
between the Eastern league (the minors in Japan, 5 starts) and Pacific League
(their top league, 10 starts). Remember that we're talking about someone who
was 19 at the time (Sasaki turned 20 in November).
19年NPB一指,他擁有比日本頂級選秀大物更好的剛腕,均速落在97mph,最快能摸到101,
年僅19歲的他在去年兩個一二軍合記15場先發77局僅有1.98防禦率
He mostly sat 93-98 with his fastball in 2021, and already has a swing-and-miss
splitter that has a ridiculous amount of movement considering it averages 87
mph. Sasaki's slider is also very hard, typically 86-88, but he doesn't finish
it as consistently as his splitter. If he ever learns to locate the slider
consistently, then Sasaki could be a dominant big league starter.
去年他的速球落在93-98,此外他還有一顆能製造揮空、均速87mph、位移很誇張的指叉,
他的滑球也很快,86-88,但不如指叉穩定,如果他能夠將滑球控的更穩定,他能成為很好
的大聯盟投手
His delivery comes at a slower pace (longer arm actions run counter to the way
pitchers are being developed more often in the U.S.), and the track record for
pitchers who throw as hard as Sasaki does, when they're as young as Sasaki was,
adds risk to his profile. But this kid has also performed in one of the world's
top leagues as a teenager and has premium stuff.
他的投球機制節奏較慢(相較於美國的投手有更長的arm actions),此外像朗希這種年輕時
就丟這麼快的投手,其實有著比較不好的track record,風險會比較高。
不過不可否認朗希在很年輕的時候就在NPB有一定水準的表現並展現了頂尖的stuff
Were he a college arm, he probably wouldn't be a 1-1 favorite (Casey Mize also
had a split-driven mix but better breaking stuff and command than Sasaki) but
rather is more like a typical top three or five pick.
如果朗希是美國大學投手,他應該不會是狀元郎的熱門人選(18年的狀元Casey Mize有一樣
指叉為主的武器庫,但他的其他變化球跟控球比朗希好),但會是前三或前五順位的候選人

今年賽季投完如果維持這個水準應該可以超車前面

控球只有這樣?

山本還是比他強 至少是整季都很穩

去年看過，山本跟朗希偏低，李政厚2年50則意外的高

今年球季投完可能對他的評價會不一樣吧

如果今年健康屠殺3A日本的話 百大一應該沒問題吧

山本跟金河成去年FV也才50

機制這種東西 推翻再推翻 感覺沒正確解答

我覺得奇怪的是外野長槍拿的分跟王牌、游擊砲一樣

李可能真的有點高 雖然他也真的表現很不錯了

話說這份排名哪邊看的到 我去Fangraph只看到美國本土的

朗希的揮臂機制真的不是美國喜歡的那種連貫式的揮臂QQ

感謝～

前兩年還在保護中 評價還沒有到很高很正常

揉從21歲開始屠殺日本也才FV45，用日韓職同級來看都

去年季中才拉上來初先發這季投完完整球季再說吧

覺得李分數真的虛高，整個不解

李就是長打弱化版的秋山 更不用想去MLB了

真的不懂Fangraphs怎麼那麼愛李政厚...

打擊還好，但砲瓦給55、50耶 那些打30轟的也給這樣

FG感覺對職業成績比較少的給的比較保守

波拉斯都跟李家人吃飯了 就看兩年後去日本還美國而已

均速97+mph結果沒有80分不說 還沒給倒70分是怎樣?擺明歧視日本投手是不是?

這樣估代表說FG認為他砲管跟金河成、村上還有揉同級然後小輸姜白虎所以我這兩年看下來才覺得尼克羊問號

而且去年19歲就能完全壓制日職打者 這樣risk還能給high?拿Casey Mize跟Sasaki比根本在污辱人

記得BA是說先發投手速球均速97+mph就可以拿80分了 朗希不可能只有65吧?

老實說我覺得FG寫報告的沒啥再看球所以職業成績比較少的 很多給的很離譜==

風之孫這分數根本笑話 朗希那麼低更是

他上一場均速甚至超過99了吧 不管打者還是投手升聯盟BB/K大多都會變爛 因為對手更強你只能投更閃/摸不到球Hit tool對打者新秀來說就是最重要的 有Hit tool就比較有可能轉換出Game power

Hit70很扯

這應該是去年評價吧 這年紀每年都進步很正常應該說評價去年的成績

年輕的速球讓人害怕

江少慶FV剩35笑臉人的新秀hit tool給到70/80，現在在大聯盟三場打率八割

速球居然只給65 真想看70-80分會給怎麼樣的速球

李政厚看到的評價都超高

佐佐木這樣沒百大? 李政厚不知道為啥評價一直很好....

投球機制是指高抬腿的部分嗎

李政厚就是弱化版秋山還能那麼高是幾個意思

Fangraphs 就韓國人在經營的吧 還有韓文

70分速球看紅人隊Greene

不知道Fangraphs上面那些排他前面的投手來投日職一季成績會是如何