※ 引述《abc12812 ()》之銘言：
: sport, like the world, is messy. But the bottom line is that WAR works. In
: 2012 the correlation between Baseball Prospectus' WAR and team victories was
: 0.86 (where 1.0 would have meant a perfect correlation). The correlation
: between batting average and victories was 0.27. Teams with more WAR win more
: games. Teams with better batting averages don't.
Sure. WAR is a better statistic than the batting average. I do not
think that many people disagree. You can check the correlation between
victories and the differences of the runs forced and the runs allowed.
It would give you a higher correlation. Does that mean R+RBI is a better
statistic for offensive players? Furthermore, WPA (win probability added)
would give you a perfect correlation to victories. Would you consider it?
There is no doubt that WAR is a good answer. But is it THE answer?
Could be, but little support from your long arguments.
: at a certain point, the question in any debate against science is: What are
: you really fighting and why?
You should ask this to yourself, and answer it seriously.

context

wut

runs scored minus allowed has higher correlation??

even if it's true, wut is that to say about R+RBI??

WPA has a perfect correlation? have you done teh math?

For the same season (2012), Corr(RS-RA, W)=0.947

You wont believe that Corr(R+RBI, W)is about the same?

I said for offensive player, so I roughly divide eachrun to the player scores, and that the player drives in

Now, for the WPA, do you know the definition? Even if

you do not know, how about taking the total WPA of any

team to see if W=81+WPA? If you still do not believe

that correlation=1, you can check with any calculator

Sorry, I did not mean to say Corr(R+RBI,W), I meant

Corr(R+RBI,RS) is nearly 1, so I use it to evaluate theoffensive performance

I was not going to argue that R+RBI is better. I want

to say that it is better by the logic of the author

http://tinyurl.com/a37ngwx not the nats but the giants

are you sure that you added both batting and pitching?

R=RS and RBI≒R I am not sure wut u goona proof here

OK, my bad, so u know the def of WPA

but don't know wut it designed to answer?

I don't know what makes you think so. Anyway, whether I

I know or not is irrelvant. I just follow the author'slogic to present WPA as a superior statistic

For R&RBI, as I mentioned above, it would also be a

better statistic from his logic.

my dick is so big

mom, i am here